Race 3A

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Schmitz 14.7% 16.3% 15.3% 11.7% 12.2% 10.3% 9.4% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Jesse Thomas 10.9% 11.0% 11.2% 10.9% 10.9% 10.8% 10.7% 10.0% 8.1% 4.8% 0.7%
John Silvestri 11.0% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 9.9% 12.2% 7.8% 3.9% 0.5%
Cole Rice 11.2% 10.9% 10.8% 13.1% 11.9% 11.2% 10.7% 9.9% 6.7% 2.5% 1.1%
Emmett Weeks 8.9% 8.3% 7.1% 9.1% 11.1% 8.7% 11.7% 11.6% 11.5% 10.2% 1.8%
Andrew McHenry 3.1% 4.7% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 7.6% 8.1% 10.2% 17.9% 23.0% 9.6%
John McGlynn 16.4% 15.0% 15.7% 12.3% 10.0% 9.9% 8.1% 6.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Karl Ryder 3.8% 2.9% 3.7% 3.5% 5.2% 8.1% 7.1% 11.1% 15.4% 27.6% 11.6%
Mackenzie Needham 7.8% 10.1% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 11.0% 10.5% 8.0% 1.4%
Alexandra Romagnoli 11.7% 9.8% 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 9.2% 11.7% 9.0% 9.7% 5.8% 0.7%
Michelle Guidotti 0.5% 1.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 3.0% 5.3% 11.3% 71.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.