Race 4A

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mackenzie Needham 7.6% 8.2% 11.4% 9.1% 9.9% 11.4% 13.6% 13.5% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4%
John McGlynn 15.4% 13.4% 14.0% 13.4% 11.7% 11.0% 7.8% 7.0% 4.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Emmett Weeks 7.6% 8.2% 6.3% 9.2% 9.1% 11.1% 10.9% 12.7% 12.7% 10.6% 1.6%
Jesse Thomas 9.9% 10.0% 8.7% 10.9% 12.0% 11.8% 10.6% 10.8% 9.6% 4.4% 1.3%
Ryan Schmitz 16.8% 17.3% 13.0% 12.8% 11.0% 9.2% 8.0% 5.4% 4.4% 2.1% 0.0%
John Silvestri 11.0% 11.1% 11.8% 12.7% 11.0% 10.0% 10.8% 8.6% 7.7% 4.7% 0.6%
Cole Rice 14.1% 13.1% 13.1% 10.9% 11.0% 10.6% 10.2% 7.9% 5.2% 3.2% 0.7%
Alexandra Romagnoli 10.1% 10.0% 12.0% 11.7% 10.3% 10.4% 9.4% 9.8% 9.5% 6.2% 0.6%
Andrew McHenry 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 7.1% 5.6% 8.9% 12.3% 16.5% 22.6% 9.6%
Karl Ryder 2.9% 3.5% 4.8% 3.8% 5.7% 6.8% 7.6% 9.2% 14.9% 29.2% 11.6%
Michelle Guidotti 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 5.3% 11.2% 72.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.