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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.44vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.88-0.14vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.66vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.37-0.32vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.01-1.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Webb Institute1.3033.2%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0516.6%1st Place
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2.86SUNY Stony Brook0.8824.0%1st Place
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4.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.286.5%1st Place
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4.68Syracuse University-0.377.3%1st Place
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4.12Hamilton College0.019.8%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Military Academy-1.202.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 33.2% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 16.6% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| kai rauch | 24.0% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 15.8% |
| Alec Wyers | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 23.4% | 17.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 8.9% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.