Race 5A

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emmett Weeks 5.9% 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 10.2% 10.0% 13.2% 12.6% 12.1% 9.0% 1.4%
Jesse Thomas 10.5% 10.6% 12.0% 11.1% 9.6% 10.9% 11.2% 11.5% 8.3% 3.7% 0.6%
John McGlynn 13.2% 14.6% 13.8% 12.1% 12.0% 11.4% 6.9% 8.1% 4.8% 2.7% 0.4%
Ryan Schmitz 15.7% 14.2% 13.1% 13.2% 12.7% 11.0% 8.4% 5.1% 5.1% 1.0% 0.5%
Cole Rice 14.1% 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 10.7% 9.3% 11.5% 10.3% 5.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Mackenzie Needham 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 11.1% 10.9% 11.4% 10.0% 9.9% 8.7% 9.2% 1.0%
Andrew McHenry 5.2% 4.1% 4.1% 6.3% 7.2% 6.4% 8.6% 10.6% 16.3% 22.9% 8.3%
Michelle Guidotti 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% 1.4% 2.1% 5.9% 12.0% 72.2%
Alexandra Romagnoli 9.4% 10.4% 10.0% 10.1% 10.3% 10.4% 11.0% 11.8% 9.2% 6.1% 1.3%
Karl Ryder 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 4.3% 6.1% 7.5% 9.8% 17.7% 26.1% 12.9%
John Silvestri 12.0% 13.2% 13.5% 9.5% 11.1% 11.1% 10.3% 8.2% 6.9% 3.7% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.