Race 6A

south-series-1-sru

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jesse Thomas 8.9% 9.9% 11.1% 11.8% 11.3% 11.8% 11.7% 11.3% 7.3% 4.1% 0.8%
John McGlynn 14.2% 14.2% 14.9% 13.6% 10.2% 11.0% 8.8% 7.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 7.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 10.4% 10.5% 12.0% 11.3% 14.5% 8.9% 1.8%
Cole Rice 12.2% 10.4% 9.6% 12.5% 13.2% 11.9% 9.4% 9.6% 7.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Mackenzie Needham 10.7% 9.3% 8.5% 9.2% 11.2% 10.2% 10.4% 11.8% 10.3% 7.3% 1.1%
Andrew McHenry 3.8% 4.0% 5.9% 4.6% 5.2% 7.2% 8.5% 11.8% 17.6% 23.1% 8.3%
Ryan Schmitz 18.3% 17.9% 13.8% 12.5% 10.8% 9.5% 6.7% 5.1% 3.1% 2.2% 0.1%
Michelle Guidotti 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 4.6% 12.0% 73.1%
Alexandra Romagnoli 9.3% 8.8% 11.7% 9.7% 10.9% 9.7% 12.5% 10.1% 10.4% 6.0% 0.9%
Karl Ryder 3.0% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 5.4% 8.2% 10.8% 13.9% 27.7% 12.9%
John Silvestri 11.9% 13.2% 11.8% 12.8% 10.0% 11.3% 9.6% 8.6% 6.7% 3.6% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.