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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+1.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.45vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30-0.65vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.01+0.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.37vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.37-1.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91SUNY Stony Brook0.8822.1%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0515.8%1st Place
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2.35Webb Institute1.3034.5%1st Place
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4.13Hamilton College0.0110.2%1st Place
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4.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.287.2%1st Place
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4.72Syracuse University-0.376.8%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Military Academy-1.203.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 22.1% | 24.6% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 15.8% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 34.5% | 26.4% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 9.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 25.1% | 16.6% |
| Henry Jensen | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.