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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.38vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.88-0.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.47vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.01-0.85vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.37-1.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Webb Institute1.3032.8%1st Place
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4.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.287.3%1st Place
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2.9SUNY Stony Brook0.8822.8%1st Place
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3.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0515.6%1st Place
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4.15Hamilton College0.0111.2%1st Place
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4.71Syracuse University-0.377.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Military Academy-1.203.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 32.8% | 28.4% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 15.7% |
| kai rauch | 22.8% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 15.6% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
| Michael Stewart | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 9.7% |
| Alec Wyers | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 18.4% |
| Henry Jensen | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.