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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexandra Romagnoli 7.9% 9.8% 9.9% 10.2% 11.7% 10.9% 12.7% 11.9% 9.6% 4.8% 0.6%
Emmett Weeks 8.1% 7.7% 9.2% 9.3% 9.6% 10.0% 11.5% 10.6% 13.4% 9.1% 1.5%
Jesse Thomas 9.5% 10.8% 9.6% 10.8% 10.1% 11.9% 11.9% 10.9% 8.1% 5.6% 0.8%
John McGlynn 13.7% 13.5% 11.5% 13.5% 13.2% 10.3% 9.6% 7.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Karl Ryder 3.0% 4.0% 3.2% 3.5% 6.0% 5.3% 8.0% 10.8% 14.4% 28.7% 13.1%
Cole Rice 13.0% 10.6% 13.1% 12.5% 10.5% 10.7% 8.4% 9.6% 6.9% 3.9% 0.8%
Ryan Schmitz 19.0% 16.8% 15.0% 10.9% 11.2% 10.3% 6.7% 5.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Michelle Guidotti 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 6.1% 11.4% 72.5%
Mackenzie Needham 8.5% 9.1% 10.3% 10.8% 8.6% 10.6% 11.8% 11.8% 10.8% 6.6% 1.1%
Andrew McHenry 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.9% 7.9% 6.2% 8.0% 11.0% 16.9% 21.8% 8.5%
John Silvestri 12.3% 12.1% 12.6% 12.0% 9.9% 12.2% 9.8% 8.3% 5.9% 4.4% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.