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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+4.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+3.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+2.33vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University2.71-0.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-2.14vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-4.06vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-4.40vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.38-3.64vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.33Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.52Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.94Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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10.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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7.36Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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4.83Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Emmett Weeks | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Jesse Thomas | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| John McGlynn | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Karl Ryder | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 28.7% | 13.1% |
| Cole Rice | 13.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 19.0% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 72.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 8.5% |
| John Silvestri | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.