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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+4.30vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University2.71+2.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+2.17vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.29+1.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.07+0.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-3.82vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.23-3.64vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.51-5.28vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-1.79vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.35Wesleyan University2.710.2%1st Place
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5.17Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.57Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.18Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.37Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Thomas | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| John McGlynn | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Emmett Weeks | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 15.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Cole Rice | 12.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 74.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 22.9% | 7.3% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 28.4% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.