← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+1.88vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.30+0.38vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-0.37+1.71vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.58vs Predicted
-
5Hamilton College0.01-0.87vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy-1.20-0.15vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.88SUNY Stony Brook0.8823.7%1st Place
-
2.38Webb Institute1.3034.1%1st Place
-
4.71Syracuse University-0.376.5%1st Place
-
3.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0515.9%1st Place
-
4.13Hamilton College0.0110.4%1st Place
-
5.85U. S. Military Academy-1.202.7%1st Place
-
4.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.286.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 23.7% | 22.8% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 34.1% | 25.3% | 20.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Alec Wyers | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 17.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 15.9% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 7.9% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 53.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.