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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.53vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.37+1.80vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.88-1.21vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.01-0.88vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Webb Institute1.3033.0%1st Place
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3.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0514.2%1st Place
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4.8Syracuse University-0.375.9%1st Place
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2.79SUNY Stony Brook0.8825.6%1st Place
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4.12Hamilton College0.0110.5%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.287.8%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Military Academy-1.203.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 33.0% | 26.9% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Bragg | 14.2% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 23.1% | 19.4% |
| kai rauch | 25.6% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 8.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 17.1% |
| Henry Jensen | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.