Race 1B

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Jensen 9.2% 11.7% 11.1% 12.5% 15.3% 15.5% 14.6% 7.4% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Liz Dubovik 17.3% 17.7% 15.7% 15.0% 12.9% 11.4% 6.0% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Booth 12.6% 12.4% 14.8% 14.0% 13.4% 13.9% 11.7% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 15.6% 14.0% 15.4% 13.8% 14.4% 12.0% 10.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Mackie Stewart 21.6% 19.6% 17.0% 15.5% 9.3% 9.1% 5.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 10.3% 13.8% 12.7% 12.6% 14.4% 13.8% 11.0% 8.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 8.4% 6.8% 9.3% 10.3% 11.3% 12.8% 19.1% 14.9% 5.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Andrew Smith 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.2% 5.2% 9.5% 21.3% 33.4% 19.1% 1.4%
Bailey Rice 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 3.0% 8.0% 18.6% 51.6% 12.5%
Benjamin King 2.2% 1.4% 1.7% 3.2% 4.0% 4.9% 9.4% 23.3% 32.0% 16.4% 1.5%
Rachel Kurlander 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 1.7% 2.5% 10.1% 84.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.