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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+1.47vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.01+1.17vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.37+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.20+0.87vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.88-3.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.29vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Webb Institute1.3035.7%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0514.2%1st Place
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4.17Hamilton College0.0110.1%1st Place
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4.8Syracuse University-0.376.5%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Military Academy-1.203.2%1st Place
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2.84SUNY Stony Brook0.8823.4%1st Place
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4.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.286.8%1st Place
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7.79Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Everett Botwinick | 35.7% | 26.2% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Lewis Bragg | 14.2% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
Michael Stewart | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 0.5% |
Alec Wyers | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 17.8% | 1.5% |
Henry Jensen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 45.9% | 6.0% |
kai rauch | 23.4% | 23.8% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Brendan Strein | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 1.2% |
Tristan Feves | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 90.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.