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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Connecticut College2.75+1.78vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95-0.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.82+0.72vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-2.82vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34-3.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-1.68vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.39-5.08vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-2.60-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Connecticut College2.750.2%1st Place
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3.85Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island2.950.2%1st Place
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5.72Brown University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.61Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.18Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.35Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.92Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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10.72Wesleyan University-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 15.1% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 16.1% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackie Stewart | 19.6% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Jensen | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Smith | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 23.4% | 32.2% | 19.5% | 1.4% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 51.9% | 12.5% |
| Benjamin King | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 23.9% | 30.5% | 16.8% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.