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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.39vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.89vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.56vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.01-0.86vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.37-1.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.20-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Webb Institute1.3035.0%1st Place
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2.89SUNY Stony Brook0.8822.9%1st Place
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4.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.287.0%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0515.4%1st Place
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4.14Hamilton College0.0110.3%1st Place
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4.85Syracuse University-0.376.4%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Military Academy-1.202.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 35.0% | 25.2% | 19.1% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| kai rauch | 22.9% | 23.9% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 13.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 15.4% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 24.3% | 20.5% |
| Henry Jensen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 18.5% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.