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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+2.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+2.43vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+0.06vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+0.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67-1.87vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34-2.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76-2.07vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.39-0.40vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.11vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.49-5.49vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Rhode Island2.950.2%1st Place
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4.43Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.06Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.04Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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4.13Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.93Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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8.6Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.51Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackie Stewart | 18.7% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 15.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Morrison | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin King | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 28.4% | 16.2% |
| Andrew Smith | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 20.1% | 33.2% | 20.8% |
| Molly Haley | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.