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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+1.40vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+2.64vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.01+1.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.88-1.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.37-1.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Webb Institute1.3033.1%1st Place
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4.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.287.0%1st Place
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4.1Hamilton College0.0110.1%1st Place
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2.85SUNY Stony Brook0.8824.5%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Military Academy-1.204.1%1st Place
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4.77Syracuse University-0.376.1%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.0515.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 33.1% | 26.8% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 16.8% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| kai rauch | 24.5% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Henry Jensen | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 50.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 18.4% |
| Lewis Bragg | 15.1% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.