Race 4B

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liz Dubovik 14.5% 17.2% 13.8% 16.2% 12.2% 12.0% 8.0% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Booth 13.0% 13.1% 12.9% 13.5% 14.5% 10.9% 9.8% 7.7% 3.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Elise Gehling 10.3% 10.0% 11.0% 12.6% 11.9% 13.8% 11.8% 12.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Christopher Jensen 9.6% 9.6% 11.2% 12.6% 12.7% 12.3% 12.1% 11.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.4%
Ryan Morrison 16.2% 15.3% 14.7% 12.0% 12.4% 11.2% 8.2% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Mackie Stewart 19.9% 19.2% 17.2% 13.2% 10.1% 8.0% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 10.2% 12.0% 13.5% 14.7% 12.5% 5.0% 1.3%
Andrew Smith 1.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.8% 6.5% 10.9% 20.4% 28.5% 20.4%
Benjamin King 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 5.9% 9.0% 22.7% 30.8% 16.9%
Molly Haley 4.9% 5.1% 7.0% 6.3% 8.5% 11.1% 15.3% 15.3% 15.8% 9.4% 1.3%
Bailey Rice 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 2.0% 1.4% 2.4% 4.3% 8.6% 20.2% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.