Race 5B

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Morrison 12.7% 15.6% 14.8% 14.2% 13.6% 11.8% 10.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Mackie Stewart 21.8% 17.4% 17.2% 12.4% 11.4% 9.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 9.5% 9.8% 10.8% 12.2% 11.2% 14.3% 12.4% 11.7% 6.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Liz Dubovik 15.8% 14.2% 14.9% 14.9% 12.8% 10.3% 9.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 12.3% 10.6% 11.7% 12.4% 11.4% 12.0% 12.0% 9.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.2%
Scott Booth 12.7% 14.5% 12.3% 13.8% 13.5% 9.2% 10.2% 8.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Andrew Smith 1.8% 2.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 5.6% 10.4% 19.4% 26.3% 24.5%
Molly Haley 5.2% 4.7% 6.8% 6.4% 9.1% 11.5% 11.3% 15.3% 17.6% 8.5% 3.6%
Alexandra Swanson 5.7% 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 13.2% 14.4% 15.3% 11.6% 6.9% 2.5%
Benjamin King 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 5.8% 10.6% 19.3% 27.4% 21.5%
Paige Brown 0.8% 1.4% 0.4% 1.0% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 5.3% 11.9% 23.5% 47.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.