← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.71+0.72vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+1.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.49-0.09vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.68vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-1.71+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-0.66-1.32vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.72Webb Institute1.7153.4%1st Place
-
3.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1112.7%1st Place
-
2.91University of Notre Dame0.4917.0%1st Place
-
4.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.585.5%1st Place
-
5.99U. S. Military Academy-1.711.5%1st Place
-
4.68Syracuse University-0.664.7%1st Place
-
4.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 53.4% | 28.2% | 12.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 12.7% | 19.6% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Stone | 17.0% | 25.8% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 22.7% | 15.2% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 19.4% | 54.9% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 23.4% | 14.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.