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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+0.65vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.49+1.00vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.66vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.66+0.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.71+0.06vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Webb Institute1.7156.5%1st Place
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3.0University of Notre Dame0.4916.7%1st Place
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4.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.584.9%1st Place
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4.6Syracuse University-0.665.1%1st Place
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3.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1111.1%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Military Academy-1.711.2%1st Place
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4.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.604.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 56.5% | 27.4% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stone | 16.7% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 24.1% | 12.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 12.8% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.1% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 58.6% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 23.9% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.