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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+2.55vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+2.79vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.39+5.87vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+0.11vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67-0.83vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51-1.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.76-1.06vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University1.49-1.43vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29-3.95vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.27-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Rhode Island2.950.2%1st Place
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4.79Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.87Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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4.11Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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4.17Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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4.42Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.57Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackie Stewart | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin King | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 26.6% | 24.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Morrison | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Molly Haley | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Jensen | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Smith | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 28.7% | 24.3% |
| Paige Brown | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 25.0% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.