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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.49+1.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+1.44vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.66+1.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.71+1.94vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71-3.30vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-1.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Notre Dame0.4916.8%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1111.6%1st Place
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4.57Syracuse University-0.665.1%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Military Academy-1.712.2%1st Place
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1.7Webb Institute1.7154.2%1st Place
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4.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.584.5%1st Place
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4.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 16.8% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.6% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Maren Behnke | 5.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 22.3% | 12.6% |
| Gil Hankinson | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 55.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 54.2% | 28.5% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 24.1% | 14.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.