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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+3.15vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.49+4.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+0.65vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+0.94vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.39+3.63vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.76-1.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75-4.17vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.51-4.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.67-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.66Wesleyan University1.490.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Rhode Island2.950.2%1st Place
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4.94Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.63Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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4.93Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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3.83Connecticut College2.750.2%1st Place
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4.51Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Morrison | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Haley | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Mackie Stewart | 19.9% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin King | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 22.4% | 27.6% | 18.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 18.0% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Smith | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 20.1% | 31.5% | 19.1% |
| Bailey Rice | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 20.0% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.