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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Morrison 13.6% 14.0% 15.6% 14.9% 12.9% 11.0% 10.4% 5.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Molly Haley 5.2% 3.7% 5.8% 7.5% 8.3% 8.2% 14.8% 19.9% 15.3% 9.0% 2.3%
Mackie Stewart 19.9% 17.5% 14.9% 14.0% 11.8% 10.5% 5.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 9.8% 10.6% 11.3% 10.7% 14.8% 14.1% 12.2% 9.2% 4.2% 2.8% 0.3%
Benjamin King 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.9% 6.3% 9.8% 22.4% 27.6% 18.3%
Christopher Jensen 10.9% 11.0% 10.4% 12.2% 12.5% 13.8% 9.9% 10.0% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Alexandra Swanson 7.3% 7.1% 8.0% 9.6% 9.5% 11.0% 14.8% 15.0% 11.7% 4.8% 1.2%
Liz Dubovik 18.0% 17.1% 15.9% 13.4% 11.5% 8.7% 7.2% 5.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Booth 11.9% 14.7% 13.4% 11.9% 11.5% 12.2% 11.0% 8.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Andrew Smith 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 3.3% 2.7% 4.1% 5.6% 9.0% 20.1% 31.5% 19.1%
Bailey Rice 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 2.5% 2.3% 3.9% 9.9% 20.0% 58.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.