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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+1.93vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71-0.52vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.12+0.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.71+0.55vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.55-0.79vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.66-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1113.7%1st Place
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1.48Webb Institute1.7165.6%1st Place
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4.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.586.1%1st Place
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4.71SUNY Stony Brook-1.123.5%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Military Academy-1.711.6%1st Place
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5.21Hamilton College-1.553.0%1st Place
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4.0Syracuse University-0.666.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lawrence | 13.7% | 30.0% | 25.4% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 65.6% | 23.9% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 6.1% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 7.8% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 3.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| Gil Hankinson | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 23.0% | 38.8% |
| Allen Underwood III | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 23.4% | 29.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 6.5% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.