Race 8B

south-series-1-sru

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Morrison 13.5% 14.2% 14.6% 14.5% 13.7% 12.7% 9.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Scott Booth 12.3% 13.6% 14.0% 13.1% 13.3% 13.1% 9.3% 6.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Christopher Jensen 9.8% 9.2% 10.3% 12.6% 12.5% 14.1% 12.0% 11.8% 6.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 10.4% 10.3% 10.4% 13.3% 12.7% 12.8% 13.1% 9.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Mackie Stewart 21.3% 19.1% 16.8% 11.9% 11.6% 8.7% 5.0% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 5.7% 7.3% 7.2% 8.8% 8.3% 12.2% 16.1% 14.4% 11.5% 7.3% 1.2%
Molly Haley 6.1% 5.2% 5.5% 7.1% 8.7% 10.0% 13.3% 18.6% 15.2% 8.8% 1.5%
Liz Dubovik 17.3% 17.4% 16.2% 13.4% 11.2% 8.7% 8.0% 5.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Benjamin King 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 2.2% 6.5% 10.5% 22.5% 29.8% 16.9%
Andrew Smith 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 8.7% 22.0% 30.5% 19.4%
Bailey Rice 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 5.0% 8.5% 18.9% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.