Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Colin MURPHY 18.5% 15.8% 16.0% 11.8% 10.1% 8.4% 7.0% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0%
John McGlynn 8.7% 9.0% 9.5% 8.8% 10.8% 10.1% 7.9% 8.7% 8.0% 7.7% 5.6% 4.1% 1.1%
Kyle Carney 16.6% 16.4% 12.6% 11.8% 11.2% 9.9% 7.7% 4.9% 4.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Sarah Fiske 6.4% 7.1% 6.7% 8.7% 7.7% 8.7% 7.5% 9.9% 8.7% 9.4% 9.0% 7.6% 2.6%
Patrick Penwell 6.2% 4.6% 6.5% 8.0% 6.4% 7.3% 9.0% 7.0% 9.8% 10.6% 11.1% 9.7% 3.8%
Margaret Bacon 6.9% 6.4% 5.4% 7.9% 8.2% 7.6% 8.1% 10.5% 9.5% 8.3% 8.9% 8.4% 3.9%
Luke O'Connor 9.3% 9.6% 9.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.1% 9.9% 8.4% 8.6% 6.5% 6.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Andrew Britton 3.2% 5.4% 4.0% 3.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 9.3% 10.6% 12.1% 15.4% 9.9%
Emmett Weeks 4.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 8.5% 8.2% 9.5% 10.4% 11.1% 12.5% 6.8%
Jacob Hardy 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 2.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 4.7% 7.2% 13.7% 56.9%
Elizabeth Glivinski 9.3% 10.5% 11.1% 9.5% 8.5% 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 6.9% 5.7% 4.8% 2.3% 1.3%
Jesse Thomas 6.1% 5.7% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 8.3% 10.1% 10.6% 9.8% 7.5% 3.9%
Michael Rottier 3.4% 3.5% 5.5% 4.8% 5.8% 6.5% 7.6% 8.2% 8.5% 11.5% 11.9% 14.2% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.