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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+1.94vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71-0.53vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.07vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.66+0.02vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.12-0.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.55-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1113.4%1st Place
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1.47Webb Institute1.7166.5%1st Place
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4.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.585.3%1st Place
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4.02Syracuse University-0.666.9%1st Place
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4.66SUNY Stony Brook-1.123.0%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Military Academy-1.712.4%1st Place
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5.27Hamilton College-1.552.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lawrence | 13.4% | 29.9% | 25.8% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 66.5% | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.3% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 6.9% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 6.3% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 3.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 14.8% |
| Gil Hankinson | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 41.0% |
| Allen Underwood III | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 25.1% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.