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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+0.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11+0.99vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.26vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.66+0.22vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.12-0.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.71-0.13vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.55-1.46vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Webb Institute1.7165.3%1st Place
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2.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1113.8%1st Place
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4.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.585.5%1st Place
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4.22Syracuse University-0.665.5%1st Place
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4.81SUNY Stony Brook-1.123.5%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Military Academy-1.712.3%1st Place
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5.54Hamilton College-1.552.8%1st Place
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6.83Stevens Institute of Technology-2.491.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Schmid | 65.3% | 24.1% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 13.8% | 28.9% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.5% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 5.5% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 3.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 5.9% |
| Gil Hankinson | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 24.6% | 21.1% |
| Allen Underwood III | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 23.4% | 14.8% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.