Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Colin MURPHY 18.0% 17.0% 14.6% 13.2% 10.1% 8.5% 7.2% 4.3% 2.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Kyle Carney 16.4% 16.7% 13.9% 12.4% 10.9% 8.3% 7.7% 6.2% 3.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Luke O'Connor 7.2% 9.1% 10.2% 10.0% 7.8% 10.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 7.5% 5.1% 4.1% 1.2%
John McGlynn 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 11.2% 9.3% 8.2% 9.4% 9.2% 7.8% 8.5% 5.3% 4.0% 1.0%
Emmett Weeks 5.5% 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 5.9% 9.1% 8.5% 11.1% 11.4% 11.8% 5.7%
Sarah Fiske 7.4% 6.4% 8.1% 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 8.8% 9.9% 8.1% 8.8% 7.7% 8.7% 1.9%
Michael Rottier 5.3% 4.1% 5.6% 6.1% 5.6% 4.8% 7.2% 8.3% 8.4% 10.2% 13.7% 13.0% 7.7%
Elizabeth Glivinski 9.1% 10.2% 9.3% 8.0% 9.1% 11.4% 10.8% 9.5% 7.8% 5.3% 5.0% 3.8% 0.7%
Jesse Thomas 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 5.7% 9.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 8.6% 7.9% 3.9%
Patrick Penwell 6.1% 6.2% 4.6% 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 7.1% 10.2% 8.4% 10.7% 9.4% 6.1%
Andrew Britton 3.7% 3.4% 5.5% 4.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 11.0% 10.0% 11.9% 14.2% 9.5%
Margaret Bacon 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.8% 7.0% 7.9% 10.0% 11.6% 11.3% 7.7% 3.4%
Jacob Hardy 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.9% 4.9% 6.9% 13.7% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.