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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.49+1.91vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71-0.33vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.66+1.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-0.57vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.52vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.69-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91University of Notre Dame0.4916.9%1st Place
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1.67Webb Institute1.7156.0%1st Place
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4.46Syracuse University-0.664.9%1st Place
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3.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.1111.1%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.585.3%1st Place
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4.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Military Academy-2.690.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 16.9% | 26.7% | 24.6% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Schmid | 56.0% | 27.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 24.6% | 6.3% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.1% | 19.5% | 21.6% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.3% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 24.9% | 6.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.1% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 26.9% | 6.9% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.