Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Carney 16.7% 15.8% 14.5% 11.8% 11.1% 8.0% 8.4% 5.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
John McGlynn 8.5% 10.6% 7.7% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.0% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
Luke O'Connor 7.7% 9.5% 9.9% 9.5% 9.1% 8.6% 9.5% 9.3% 9.8% 6.9% 5.1% 3.8% 1.3%
Patrick Penwell 4.5% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 5.1%
Jacob Hardy 1.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.9% 7.3% 11.3% 58.4%
Sarah Fiske 7.1% 7.1% 5.4% 8.6% 8.7% 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 9.1% 7.2% 7.3% 2.5%
Jesse Thomas 7.5% 5.9% 8.5% 7.8% 6.7% 7.5% 7.7% 10.2% 8.4% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 2.6%
Michael Rottier 3.7% 5.0% 5.5% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 6.5% 9.9% 8.9% 10.9% 12.3% 12.7% 8.3%
Elizabeth Glivinski 9.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 8.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.6% 7.0% 5.9% 6.7% 4.3% 1.2%
Margaret Bacon 7.3% 5.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 8.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.3% 10.0% 8.9% 4.1%
Andrew Britton 3.8% 3.7% 4.9% 5.9% 4.0% 7.4% 5.8% 7.6% 11.1% 11.2% 9.9% 15.6% 9.1%
Emmett Weeks 5.2% 3.7% 5.0% 5.7% 8.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 8.6% 10.0% 12.6% 14.4% 5.8%
Colin MURPHY 16.6% 17.0% 15.8% 10.2% 11.7% 9.9% 7.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.