Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Penwell 5.2% 4.9% 5.8% 7.4% 7.4% 7.2% 8.4% 8.0% 9.8% 11.4% 10.5% 10.5% 3.5%
Kyle Carney 16.6% 15.8% 14.4% 12.0% 12.0% 8.7% 7.2% 4.3% 4.7% 1.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Emmett Weeks 3.7% 4.7% 4.7% 6.8% 6.7% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 10.6% 8.7% 13.5% 10.6% 6.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.8% 9.6% 11.4% 9.1% 10.0% 9.5% 8.5% 8.7% 8.3% 7.8% 4.7% 3.4% 1.2%
Luke O'Connor 10.1% 9.1% 8.3% 12.1% 8.5% 9.4% 7.6% 10.2% 7.0% 7.2% 5.7% 3.7% 1.1%
Colin MURPHY 18.9% 18.2% 14.6% 11.4% 9.7% 7.2% 8.0% 5.2% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Jesse Thomas 7.8% 5.7% 9.1% 5.8% 6.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.6% 8.4% 10.2% 9.0% 7.5% 2.2%
John McGlynn 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 9.9% 9.4% 9.0% 10.9% 7.9% 9.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.7% 0.9%
Margaret Bacon 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 8.3% 8.4% 10.6% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.6% 4.1%
Sarah Fiske 7.3% 7.3% 7.2% 6.3% 9.4% 8.7% 8.7% 9.5% 8.5% 8.5% 9.0% 6.2% 3.4%
Andrew Britton 3.8% 3.4% 4.4% 5.8% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 6.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.9% 16.6% 9.0%
Michael Rottier 3.2% 4.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.4% 7.0% 6.3% 8.7% 7.9% 11.9% 12.3% 14.9% 8.2%
Jacob Hardy 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 7.5% 12.9% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.