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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.54+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.23vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-0.74vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.43-0.04vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.32-1.31vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.68-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Rochester Institute of Technology1.0650.7%1st Place
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3.7University of Rochester-0.5410.4%1st Place
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3.23University of Maryland-0.0814.0%1st Place
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3.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2014.6%1st Place
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4.96Syracuse University-1.434.5%1st Place
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4.69Penn State University-1.325.0%1st Place
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6.34Unknown School-2.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 50.7% | 27.7% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 10.4% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 11.3% | 2.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.0% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Nelson | 14.6% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Mary Morris | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 31.8% | 15.3% |
| Bobby Dodge | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 21.8% | 27.9% | 11.8% |
| Dima Murtada | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.