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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.82vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.21vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.43+0.91vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.32-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54-2.31vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.68-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Rochester Institute of Technology1.0649.5%1st Place
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3.32Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2013.7%1st Place
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3.21University of Maryland-0.0815.2%1st Place
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4.91Syracuse University-1.435.1%1st Place
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4.76Penn State University-1.324.7%1st Place
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3.69University of Rochester-0.5410.5%1st Place
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6.3Unknown School-2.681.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 49.5% | 29.2% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Nelson | 13.7% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.2% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Mary Morris | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 31.4% | 14.4% |
| Bobby Dodge | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 28.0% | 12.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 10.5% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 2.8% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.