Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Glivinski 9.1% 8.2% 10.6% 9.9% 8.8% 10.4% 9.9% 8.5% 7.7% 7.3% 5.6% 3.2% 0.8%
Sarah Fiske 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 9.2% 7.2% 9.2% 8.3% 10.5% 7.9% 9.0% 9.2% 7.4% 2.6%
Luke O'Connor 7.2% 9.1% 9.7% 9.9% 9.4% 9.5% 8.8% 11.2% 8.1% 6.8% 4.8% 4.4% 1.1%
Kyle Carney 16.4% 17.6% 13.4% 12.4% 8.0% 11.0% 6.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Colin MURPHY 19.2% 17.0% 14.5% 11.2% 11.5% 7.7% 7.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Jesse Thomas 6.7% 6.3% 6.8% 6.9% 9.6% 7.6% 10.1% 8.9% 9.8% 9.1% 6.9% 8.6% 2.7%
Margaret Bacon 8.1% 6.3% 6.7% 6.5% 8.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.5% 9.2% 9.1% 9.4% 8.5% 3.1%
Emmett Weeks 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 8.3% 8.8% 8.3% 11.0% 12.4% 12.4% 4.9%
Michael Rottier 4.3% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.2% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 10.3% 10.9% 12.7% 13.5% 8.2%
John McGlynn 9.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.9% 9.5% 7.0% 7.7% 8.9% 6.1% 6.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Andrew Britton 3.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.5% 9.3% 11.4% 12.1% 13.7% 9.6%
Patrick Penwell 4.8% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 8.3% 7.0% 8.5% 7.5% 9.4% 10.0% 11.2% 11.1% 5.2%
Jacob Hardy 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 3.6% 4.6% 7.3% 12.5% 60.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.