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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Colin MURPHY 21.2% 18.6% 16.9% 12.4% 8.3% 8.5% 5.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Jensen 6.8% 6.4% 7.6% 6.9% 11.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 8.7% 5.5% 1.9%
Andrew Britton 4.0% 3.7% 4.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 6.0% 8.8% 10.2% 10.7% 12.1% 13.5% 6.1%
Emmett Weeks 5.5% 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 8.4% 6.8% 8.0% 9.2% 9.1% 11.1% 11.6% 8.7% 3.3%
Elizabeth Glivinski 11.6% 12.0% 11.5% 10.9% 10.5% 8.4% 8.8% 8.7% 7.3% 4.6% 3.1% 2.3% 0.3%
John McGlynn 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 11.6% 9.1% 9.9% 9.7% 7.9% 6.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7%
Jesse Thomas 8.4% 7.8% 8.5% 7.5% 9.0% 10.5% 8.6% 8.6% 10.0% 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.4%
Luke O'Connor 10.5% 11.5% 9.9% 10.7% 9.7% 10.3% 10.7% 7.7% 6.5% 6.0% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Patrick Penwell 6.3% 5.5% 7.3% 7.6% 8.1% 7.6% 9.4% 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 9.3% 7.4% 3.5%
Benjamin Mende 2.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 3.6% 4.4% 4.7% 9.0% 7.8% 10.8% 21.9% 23.9%
Cameron Barclift 6.1% 8.7% 8.9% 8.8% 7.6% 8.9% 9.8% 10.1% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 3.8% 2.4%
Michael Rottier 4.6% 5.5% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.7% 12.0% 12.6% 10.5% 5.7%
Jacob Hardy 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 3.5% 6.8% 7.5% 16.5% 50.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.