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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+2.66vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.29+4.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+5.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07+3.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+0.25vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University2.71-0.56vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36-0.61vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.70-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19-1.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14-0.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.31-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.96-4.13vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.59-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.74Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.44Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.39Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.46Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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11.17Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 21.2% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Britton | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| John McGlynn | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Luke O'Connor | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 23.9% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Michael Rottier | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.