← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20+2.26vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.54+0.69vs Predicted
-
4Unknown School-2.68+2.33vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-1.32-0.23vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-0.08-2.79vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University-1.43-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2013.4%1st Place
-
1.8Rochester Institute of Technology1.0651.3%1st Place
-
3.69University of Rochester-0.5411.0%1st Place
-
6.33Unknown School-2.680.9%1st Place
-
4.77Penn State University-1.325.0%1st Place
-
3.21University of Maryland-0.0814.4%1st Place
-
4.95Syracuse University-1.434.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Nelson | 13.4% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Turner | 51.3% | 27.4% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 11.0% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 22.0% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Dima Murtada | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 67.5% |
| Bobby Dodge | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 28.7% | 11.8% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.4% | 22.1% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Mary Morris | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 30.2% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.