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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.80vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.54+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-0.79vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-2.68+1.34vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.43-1.08vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.32-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Rochester Institute of Technology1.0650.5%1st Place
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3.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2014.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Rochester-0.5411.0%1st Place
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3.21University of Maryland-0.0813.5%1st Place
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6.34Unknown School-2.681.1%1st Place
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4.92Syracuse University-1.434.5%1st Place
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4.74Penn State University-1.325.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 50.5% | 28.9% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Nelson | 14.1% | 20.2% | 23.0% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 11.0% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 23.1% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% |
| Jared Cohen | 13.5% | 22.2% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 68.3% |
| Mary Morris | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 30.2% | 15.0% |
| Bobby Dodge | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 27.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.