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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.29+5.73vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University2.71+3.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+4.39vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.70+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.96+2.58vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19-0.09vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-4.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.31-2.23vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.59+1.03vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-4.67vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-1.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.52Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.55Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.61Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.03Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.33Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jensen | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| John McGlynn | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Colin MURPHY | 23.0% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Barclift | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 47.8% |
| Jesse Thomas | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Mende | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 23.3% | 25.6% |
| Andrew Britton | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.