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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.29+5.75vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+4.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+4.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+3.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.83+2.97vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University2.71-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.96+0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-2.66vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.31-2.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14-0.18vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.590.00vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.70-6.41vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.44-9.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.830.1%1st Place
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5.47Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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11.0Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.67Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jensen | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Jesse Thomas | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Britton | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
| John McGlynn | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Barclift | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Mende | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 23.2% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 46.7% |
| Luke O'Connor | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 21.8% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.