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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+1.16vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20+0.27vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-2.68+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.54-1.23vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.32-1.18vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.43-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Rochester Institute of Technology1.0650.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Maryland-0.0815.7%1st Place
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3.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2013.9%1st Place
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6.32Unknown School-2.680.9%1st Place
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3.77University of Rochester-0.549.6%1st Place
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4.82Penn State University-1.324.5%1st Place
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4.86Syracuse University-1.435.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 50.1% | 28.5% | 14.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jared Cohen | 15.7% | 21.0% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Jonah Nelson | 13.9% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Dima Murtada | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 67.5% |
| Abby Eckert | 9.6% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 2.4% |
| Bobby Dodge | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 24.2% | 27.9% | 12.8% |
| Mary Morris | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 29.4% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.