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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+0.78vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.32+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.54+0.72vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-0.78vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.43-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.08-2.75vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.68-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Rochester Institute of Technology1.0651.0%1st Place
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4.78Penn State University-1.324.0%1st Place
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3.72University of Rochester-0.5410.1%1st Place
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3.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2015.6%1st Place
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4.95Syracuse University-1.433.5%1st Place
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3.25University of Maryland-0.0814.8%1st Place
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6.3Unknown School-2.681.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Turner | 51.0% | 29.0% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bobby Dodge | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 23.4% | 28.1% | 11.8% |
| Abby Eckert | 10.1% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Jonah Nelson | 15.6% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Mary Morris | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 30.9% | 14.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.8% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.