Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elizabeth Glivinski 10.9% 11.1% 10.1% 11.2% 10.5% 9.8% 8.7% 8.5% 6.9% 6.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5%
John McGlynn 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 10.3% 11.5% 10.8% 7.6% 7.7% 8.3% 5.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Jesse Thomas 5.8% 7.9% 9.2% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 9.5% 11.1% 7.2% 9.0% 8.4% 4.1% 2.0%
Colin MURPHY 21.7% 20.0% 15.4% 10.9% 10.9% 6.7% 6.2% 4.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Jacob Hardy 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 5.3% 4.7% 8.5% 15.9% 48.6%
Cameron Barclift 7.9% 6.0% 9.2% 8.9% 7.8% 9.0% 9.5% 9.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 6.1% 1.8%
Emmett Weeks 6.6% 6.4% 6.4% 7.6% 5.9% 6.6% 9.4% 8.6% 9.7% 11.2% 8.8% 9.6% 3.2%
Patrick Penwell 6.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 6.6% 8.6% 10.2% 7.8% 10.0% 10.1% 9.6% 6.7% 2.3%
Michael Rottier 5.2% 5.2% 4.6% 7.2% 6.2% 6.7% 7.5% 7.4% 11.8% 10.5% 12.0% 9.4% 6.3%
Christopher Jensen 8.1% 6.6% 6.9% 8.9% 7.9% 11.0% 7.8% 8.5% 7.2% 8.4% 9.0% 7.0% 2.7%
Andrew Britton 3.9% 5.2% 5.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 6.6% 9.0% 10.2% 11.4% 9.9% 11.5% 6.4%
Luke O'Connor 9.5% 11.3% 10.8% 8.3% 11.6% 8.8% 10.2% 8.3% 7.3% 5.5% 5.0% 2.2% 1.2%
Benjamin Mende 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 6.0% 6.1% 8.2% 12.4% 23.3% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.