Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Lippincott 11.2% 11.7% 12.3% 11.0% 11.3% 11.3% 10.1% 8.2% 7.2% 2.7% 2.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Timothy Harding 11.6% 11.6% 11.2% 12.6% 13.0% 11.1% 8.6% 6.9% 6.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Courtney Koos 10.6% 13.2% 11.5% 10.1% 11.6% 11.9% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 9.4% 7.3% 10.3% 11.8% 10.7% 10.4% 10.0% 10.2% 9.6% 6.0% 3.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Ian Storck 23.3% 19.6% 15.9% 11.3% 10.3% 8.3% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsey Kennett 7.2% 8.2% 8.0% 9.1% 7.9% 10.9% 12.0% 10.2% 9.5% 8.6% 6.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Nicholas Odegard 5.7% 4.9% 5.2% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 8.0% 11.9% 12.8% 15.1% 11.2% 5.3% 1.2%
Brooke Baker 6.2% 8.0% 6.5% 7.1% 6.9% 10.0% 10.4% 12.1% 11.0% 12.2% 6.3% 2.8% 0.5%
Elise Gehling 9.6% 9.0% 11.3% 11.3% 10.8% 9.3% 10.7% 8.8% 8.9% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Samuel Morley 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 4.2% 6.0% 8.4% 11.8% 24.6% 21.0% 8.6%
Matthew Clarida 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 7.5% 9.1% 11.7% 17.6% 14.6% 10.4% 2.6%
Andrew Silhavy 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8% 9.3% 22.7% 54.5%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 7.4% 14.3% 33.7% 32.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.