Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kate Levinson 8.4% 9.8% 10.3% 11.0% 10.8% 10.4% 9.9% 10.8% 9.6% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 12.2% 11.9% 11.3% 12.7% 11.4% 10.5% 8.6% 8.1% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Nicholas Odegard 3.2% 3.6% 6.3% 7.1% 5.7% 7.0% 8.9% 11.5% 12.5% 16.1% 11.9% 5.8% 0.4%
Matthew Clarida 2.3% 3.5% 2.8% 5.2% 4.9% 5.3% 8.1% 9.1% 10.2% 17.7% 18.6% 9.6% 2.7%
Robert Lippincott 13.2% 12.0% 11.5% 10.8% 13.3% 8.2% 10.3% 7.7% 6.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Brooke Baker 6.1% 7.2% 6.0% 8.1% 7.7% 10.9% 9.6% 10.0% 13.5% 9.8% 8.1% 2.8% 0.2%
Ian Storck 23.3% 19.8% 15.6% 11.9% 9.4% 8.8% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Courtney Koos 11.7% 12.1% 12.8% 10.6% 11.1% 12.2% 10.0% 8.6% 5.4% 2.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 9.7% 9.0% 10.8% 8.3% 11.7% 11.2% 11.4% 8.8% 8.1% 6.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Samuel Morley 1.6% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 5.6% 9.5% 12.8% 22.8% 20.6% 9.0%
Lindsey Kennett 6.9% 8.2% 9.1% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 11.8% 8.9% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Andrew Silhavy 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 8.3% 23.1% 54.8%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.9% 0.3% 0.5% 1.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 4.9% 6.3% 14.0% 32.9% 32.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.