Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Storck 22.7% 18.8% 14.0% 15.1% 10.7% 7.8% 4.7% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 11.1% 12.2% 12.8% 11.5% 10.5% 11.2% 9.4% 9.1% 5.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Courtney Koos 10.2% 13.6% 13.2% 10.2% 10.9% 11.2% 11.0% 8.6% 5.5% 3.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 12.4% 11.3% 11.8% 12.7% 12.0% 10.7% 8.5% 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Nicholas Odegard 5.1% 5.5% 4.7% 7.0% 7.3% 6.7% 8.9% 9.5% 12.2% 15.4% 10.8% 5.5% 1.4%
Samuel Morley 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 2.0% 3.7% 3.0% 4.1% 6.2% 9.9% 11.7% 23.0% 22.2% 8.4%
Elise Gehling 11.7% 8.9% 11.3% 9.6% 10.5% 11.1% 10.1% 9.4% 7.6% 5.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Brooke Baker 5.8% 7.8% 6.2% 8.2% 7.2% 9.0% 10.6% 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 7.2% 3.0% 0.3%
Lindsey Kennett 6.8% 6.9% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 11.3% 11.1% 10.5% 8.6% 6.8% 2.5% 0.1%
Matthew Clarida 3.6% 3.4% 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 7.6% 6.8% 8.1% 11.5% 18.3% 16.1% 9.4% 3.6%
Andrew Silhavy 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 4.8% 9.9% 24.3% 51.0%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 2.3% 0.7% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 7.3% 13.8% 30.0% 35.0%
Kate Levinson 8.2% 9.2% 10.6% 8.9% 10.9% 11.2% 10.9% 10.4% 9.8% 5.4% 2.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.