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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07+2.92vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.96+0.59vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-2.70+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.85-1.64vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.00-2.41vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.88-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0712.8%1st Place
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4.16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.3212.8%1st Place
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3.59University of Rochester-0.9617.5%1st Place
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6.03Unknown School-2.702.9%1st Place
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3.36University of Maryland-0.8518.6%1st Place
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3.59Penn State University-1.0016.1%1st Place
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3.36Syracuse University-0.8819.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Tindall | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 8.3% |
| Kristen McDonough | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 11.2% |
| Kasym Qazi | 17.5% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 5.7% |
| Walter Kivala | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 62.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 18.6% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.2% |
| Makenna Labor | 16.1% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 5.5% |
| John Colby | 19.2% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.