Race 4B

bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kate Levinson 9.3% 9.7% 9.7% 9.8% 11.0% 11.7% 9.0% 10.5% 9.1% 4.7% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 11.1% 12.7% 11.6% 10.7% 12.1% 10.5% 9.8% 8.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Elise Gehling 8.3% 9.8% 11.5% 10.6% 11.0% 10.6% 10.9% 9.6% 8.3% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 13.3% 10.7% 11.7% 12.1% 11.8% 11.7% 7.5% 8.1% 6.0% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Lindsey Kennett 7.9% 7.6% 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 10.1% 9.7% 12.3% 10.2% 7.6% 6.2% 2.1% 0.0%
Courtney Koos 12.2% 12.1% 12.8% 12.4% 11.0% 9.4% 9.5% 7.8% 6.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Ian Storck 22.1% 19.7% 16.1% 12.6% 9.3% 7.7% 6.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Baker 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.4% 10.2% 11.8% 10.0% 11.3% 12.3% 6.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Nicholas Odegard 4.0% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 6.7% 6.0% 9.4% 11.8% 12.0% 13.7% 13.6% 5.9% 1.1%
Matthew Clarida 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 7.2% 9.0% 13.6% 15.3% 16.2% 10.3% 3.5%
Samuel Morley 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 6.1% 5.8% 8.6% 14.5% 23.3% 18.8% 8.0%
Andrew Silhavy 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.9% 4.3% 8.4% 23.0% 54.6%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 1.6% 3.5% 7.7% 12.7% 34.4% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.