Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christian Houston-Floyd 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 7.5% 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 9.4% 7.0% 3.8% 1.0%
Elise Gehling 9.0% 11.0% 9.5% 9.3% 9.9% 10.3% 9.6% 9.2% 9.4% 5.9% 4.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Ian Storck 21.9% 18.6% 14.9% 14.0% 9.0% 8.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 11.8% 11.6% 12.5% 11.5% 10.8% 9.4% 9.0% 8.0% 6.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Brooke Baker 6.8% 7.2% 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 8.1% 9.3% 10.8% 9.0% 10.0% 6.1% 0.9%
Kate Shaner 10.4% 9.2% 10.0% 10.4% 11.2% 9.2% 9.7% 8.3% 7.2% 6.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Robert Lippincott 12.2% 11.8% 12.6% 10.5% 11.5% 9.7% 8.0% 7.0% 7.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Lindsey Kennett 6.9% 8.1% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 9.9% 9.7% 10.3% 11.0% 8.2% 7.3% 3.3% 1.3%
Thomas Presti 5.1% 5.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 8.7% 10.9% 10.5% 11.4% 11.6% 8.4% 2.6%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.5% 1.2% 0.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 7.0% 15.8% 59.0%
Matthew Clarida 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 8.8% 13.6% 15.7% 15.1% 6.6%
Samuel Morley 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 5.2% 4.4% 5.3% 7.4% 12.9% 29.0% 22.8%
Nicholas Odegard 3.8% 3.6% 5.0% 4.9% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 9.1% 9.9% 13.3% 12.6% 11.4% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.