Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Harding 10.9% 12.2% 11.6% 12.7% 10.4% 10.3% 9.1% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Matthew Clarida 3.2% 2.8% 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 4.5% 5.9% 8.1% 8.6% 11.8% 15.9% 19.6% 6.5%
Ian Storck 21.2% 20.5% 13.6% 12.8% 10.7% 8.1% 6.1% 3.4% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 11.2% 10.9% 13.3% 11.8% 9.1% 10.9% 8.8% 7.3% 7.6% 4.7% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elise Gehling 10.4% 10.3% 10.2% 11.4% 9.2% 9.3% 10.4% 8.2% 7.5% 5.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.0%
Thomas Presti 5.9% 4.7% 6.1% 5.7% 8.7% 7.2% 8.1% 9.7% 11.9% 10.7% 11.2% 8.4% 1.7%
Kate Shaner 10.8% 9.5% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 11.2% 9.3% 7.9% 7.5% 7.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.4%
Christian Houston-Floyd 7.2% 8.1% 7.6% 9.5% 8.5% 9.2% 10.1% 10.7% 9.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.1% 0.8%
Lindsey Kennett 7.1% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 8.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.7% 10.0% 9.1% 7.1% 5.1% 1.3%
Samuel Morley 2.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 6.7% 8.2% 13.7% 26.3% 21.5%
Brooke Baker 4.9% 7.2% 8.6% 7.2% 7.8% 10.1% 8.7% 10.5% 10.4% 10.3% 8.0% 5.1% 1.2%
Nicholas Odegard 4.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.9% 8.0% 5.5% 7.8% 8.3% 9.4% 13.4% 13.8% 11.3% 4.4%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 4.0% 7.5% 14.7% 61.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.