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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.07+2.95vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.96+0.45vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.00-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.85-1.62vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.70+0.07vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.88-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Rochester Institute of Technology-1.0712.8%1st Place
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4.17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.3211.3%1st Place
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3.45University of Rochester-0.9618.4%1st Place
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3.6Penn State University-1.0016.6%1st Place
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3.38University of Maryland-0.8518.9%1st Place
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6.07Unknown School-2.702.4%1st Place
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3.38Syracuse University-0.8819.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Tindall | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 7.1% |
| Kristen McDonough | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 10.3% |
| Kasym Qazi | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
| Makenna Labor | 16.6% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 18.9% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
| Walter Kivala | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 64.5% |
| John Colby | 19.6% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.