Race 7B

bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Robert Lippincott 12.4% 10.6% 12.4% 10.6% 11.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 5.7% 5.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Ian Storck 21.4% 20.6% 14.9% 12.5% 11.5% 6.7% 4.7% 4.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 10.4% 12.3% 13.2% 11.2% 10.2% 10.4% 10.6% 6.5% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Christian Houston-Floyd 7.3% 7.7% 7.0% 10.3% 8.7% 10.7% 9.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.9% 6.5% 4.7% 0.7%
Kate Shaner 10.1% 10.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.5% 10.2% 9.8% 8.3% 8.8% 6.5% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5%
Elise Gehling 9.6% 10.9% 10.3% 10.9% 10.5% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.3%
Brooke Baker 7.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 10.5% 10.2% 10.3% 9.4% 6.2% 1.5%
Samuel Morley 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 4.1% 4.2% 7.5% 8.5% 13.8% 26.4% 20.7%
Thomas Presti 5.0% 4.7% 6.3% 5.3% 7.2% 8.5% 8.5% 10.1% 10.3% 12.2% 10.3% 8.6% 3.0%
Nicholas Odegard 4.8% 5.4% 4.5% 4.6% 6.2% 9.0% 9.1% 9.2% 9.6% 10.1% 12.0% 10.8% 4.7%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 3.6% 8.6% 16.2% 57.6%
Lindsey Kennett 6.9% 5.8% 7.8% 10.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.1% 9.1% 10.7% 10.8% 8.1% 4.1% 1.6%
Matthew Clarida 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.6% 9.1% 8.9% 11.2% 17.3% 16.3% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.