Race 8B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Elise Gehling 9.4% 11.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.5% 9.6% 10.7% 9.1% 8.5% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Christian Houston-Floyd 7.5% 7.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.0% 10.2% 8.3% 10.7% 8.9% 8.7% 7.0% 4.0% 0.8%
Robert Lippincott 10.6% 11.5% 12.9% 9.7% 10.4% 11.1% 10.4% 8.3% 5.4% 5.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Matthew Clarida 2.5% 3.6% 2.8% 4.8% 4.4% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 11.3% 16.6% 18.7% 7.6%
Lindsey Kennett 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2% 10.0% 9.2% 10.5% 9.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.1%
Ian Storck 22.0% 20.0% 15.2% 12.1% 10.1% 7.5% 4.3% 4.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 13.1% 11.0% 12.4% 11.6% 10.6% 10.5% 8.7% 6.2% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Kate Shaner 9.2% 9.7% 9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 10.5% 10.6% 10.1% 7.2% 5.9% 5.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 6.2% 16.8% 58.6%
Nicholas Odegard 4.8% 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 6.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 10.1% 11.8% 13.0% 10.3% 4.6%
Thomas Presti 4.9% 5.6% 6.0% 8.6% 8.2% 6.1% 9.5% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 10.9% 6.6% 3.1%
Brooke Baker 5.9% 5.0% 6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 7.8% 8.4% 9.2% 11.1% 11.3% 10.3% 5.6% 2.6%
Samuel Morley 1.7% 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 6.9% 8.9% 14.8% 28.0% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.