Race 9B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Storck 21.0% 20.7% 14.9% 11.9% 11.7% 6.9% 6.5% 2.6% 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Christian Houston-Floyd 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 9.0% 9.7% 8.9% 10.6% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 6.2% 4.1% 0.8%
Nicholas Odegard 3.3% 3.8% 4.8% 7.0% 5.7% 7.8% 7.6% 8.8% 10.7% 11.9% 15.4% 9.3% 3.9%
Timothy Harding 12.3% 11.4% 11.0% 12.2% 10.4% 10.8% 8.2% 9.6% 6.0% 4.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Brooke Baker 7.4% 4.7% 8.2% 8.1% 7.0% 7.9% 9.7% 9.2% 11.1% 10.7% 9.0% 5.5% 1.5%
Robert Lippincott 11.7% 12.5% 12.8% 9.5% 10.7% 10.6% 8.7% 7.7% 6.5% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 10.7% 9.7% 10.4% 9.4% 9.8% 11.2% 8.4% 9.3% 8.7% 5.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Lindsey Kennett 6.1% 8.0% 7.7% 9.8% 7.7% 9.4% 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 7.5% 7.7% 3.7% 1.1%
Matthew Clarida 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.8% 4.0% 6.2% 7.1% 8.4% 12.4% 17.7% 17.7% 7.7%
Thomas Presti 6.0% 4.8% 6.5% 5.1% 8.3% 7.6% 8.8% 10.6% 10.0% 10.4% 11.0% 8.1% 2.8%
Kate Shaner 9.3% 11.0% 9.8% 11.0% 10.5% 10.2% 11.0% 8.7% 6.6% 5.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 5.4% 6.0% 17.1% 59.5%
Samuel Morley 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 4.9% 6.6% 10.0% 13.0% 28.3% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.