Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Baker 5.6% 4.9% 6.9% 9.0% 8.8% 7.6% 8.4% 9.2% 11.5% 10.9% 9.1% 6.3% 1.8%
Ian Storck 22.1% 17.9% 17.6% 12.4% 8.4% 7.8% 6.9% 3.0% 1.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 9.5% 14.1% 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 9.5% 9.8% 9.2% 6.3% 4.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 9.2% 9.5% 11.3% 9.9% 10.8% 9.8% 9.0% 8.9% 7.9% 6.7% 4.4% 2.4% 0.2%
Kate Shaner 10.4% 9.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 9.5% 9.9% 8.3% 8.8% 5.8% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Nicholas Odegard 5.0% 4.7% 4.9% 4.8% 6.9% 8.0% 7.2% 8.6% 10.9% 12.0% 12.3% 11.6% 3.1%
Christian Houston-Floyd 8.7% 7.9% 7.9% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.9% 10.0% 8.8% 8.4% 6.8% 3.8% 1.1%
Matthew Clarida 3.0% 4.1% 3.1% 4.1% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 8.7% 8.6% 12.6% 17.5% 15.5% 7.9%
Lindsey Kennett 7.4% 7.6% 6.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.0% 10.8% 9.3% 9.5% 8.7% 7.9% 5.5% 1.4%
Samuel Morley 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.0% 3.0% 3.9% 3.0% 4.8% 6.6% 8.1% 12.6% 27.9% 21.7%
Thomas Presti 4.8% 6.2% 7.3% 6.1% 5.9% 10.2% 9.3% 9.3% 10.9% 10.1% 10.7% 7.0% 2.2%
Douwe Van Der Werf 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.0% 4.5% 7.0% 16.3% 59.9%
Timothy Harding 11.9% 11.3% 10.6% 11.6% 12.1% 9.9% 9.1% 8.5% 5.6% 5.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.