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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+8.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+7.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+6.73vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.91+5.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+1.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.06vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-2.46vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58+0.97vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-6.01vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-7.07vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-5.93vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.47vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.73Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.35Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.97Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.66Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.7% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.