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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+7.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+9.08vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+9.19vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+6.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+2.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.94vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+3.83vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.82vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-0.89vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-0.44vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-2.73vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.19vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-5.05vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.92-4.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-5.97vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-11.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.08Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.19Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.83Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.01Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.11University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.37Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Mary Hall | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.