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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+6.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+5.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.90vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.86vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+3.44vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29+0.78vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.95vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-0.86vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-2.72vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-6.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.16vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-4.25vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-4.02vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.91-6.44vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.18-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.44Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.78University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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11.15Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.94Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.75Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.98Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.06Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 11.9% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Mary Hall | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% |
| Haley Powell | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.