← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.20vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.10+3.67vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.67vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.27+4.80vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.81+5.74vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.91+4.48vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.92+3.40vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.82+2.80vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.58+2.90vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.71-2.71vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.48-2.88vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.51-3.70vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.29-4.29vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.53vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.18-5.78vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.99vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.02-6.86vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.2U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
5.67Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
10.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.8Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.74Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.48Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.4Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
10.8Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.9Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.29Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.3Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.22Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.