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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.72vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+4.20vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+7.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+5.76vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.86vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-0.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+1.84vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92+0.70vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.29-1.96vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-1.60vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-3.83vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-4.39vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.27-6.17vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.69vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.49vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.91-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.75Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.84Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.7Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.04University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 14.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Sky Adams | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 18.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.