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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.18vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+5.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+7.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+3.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+4.90vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+5.86vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+1.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+2.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.87vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.91+0.72vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-1.96vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.10-6.09vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-2.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.48-6.27vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.82-4.18vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-5.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.68vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.18-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.2Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.82University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.72Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.82Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.