← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.10+4.82vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+10.48vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.81+8.17vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.51+3.79vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.27+3.79vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.96vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.92+3.42vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.29+0.77vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.18+0.26vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.71-2.74vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.01vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.82-0.78vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.48-5.14vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.58-2.48vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.72vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.91-5.49vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island3.02-6.88vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
12.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.17Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.79Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.42Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.77University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
9.26Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
7.26Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.22Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.86Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.52Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
10.51Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.12University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.