← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Hultquist 13.8% 16.2% 16.9% 16.8% 15.8% 11.6% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Rachel Bartel 19.1% 18.6% 19.7% 15.6% 11.8% 8.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Gavin Dempsey 24.4% 20.6% 17.3% 14.7% 11.5% 7.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Odey Hariri 16.1% 16.2% 15.8% 17.6% 14.9% 10.1% 6.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Molly Sheridan 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 7.0% 9.2% 15.2% 20.2% 18.9% 9.9% 3.5%
Jenna Spray 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 5.0% 8.6% 11.8% 17.1% 22.1% 17.8% 8.9%
Carter Hrabrick 2.8% 2.8% 2.7% 4.5% 6.9% 10.3% 17.5% 20.0% 21.2% 11.5%
Thomas Marino 14.2% 14.1% 15.2% 15.5% 14.6% 13.7% 7.8% 4.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Sara Chemello 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 6.2% 9.3% 13.9% 24.8% 36.5%
Seth Mobley 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.8% 3.4% 5.2% 7.8% 14.8% 23.6% 39.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.