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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+7.86vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+6.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.47+8.09vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.72vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+2.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+3.82vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.51+3.61vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.59+2.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.880.00vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-3.31vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-4.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.92vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-3.68vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-6.59vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-5.37vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.51-6.19vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.61University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% |
| Liana Folger | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.