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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.59+7.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+5.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+3.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+4.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.47+2.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98-0.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-2.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.37vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.33vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.34vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.30vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.51-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.73Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.67Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.29University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.52Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% |
| Liana Folger | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.