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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.21+6.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+8.72vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51+8.06vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+3.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+3.50vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.87vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+1.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.68vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53+1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-1.12vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-5.15vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.47-2.22vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-4.40vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.22vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.20vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.47vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.51-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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7.55Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.78Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.57Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.