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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+9.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+7.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+6.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+2.48vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.53+5.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.16vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.74vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+0.91vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-2.00vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-3.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.51-0.82vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.51-3.56vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.97-6.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.71vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.47-5.95vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.58University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.05Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Lewis | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% |
| Liana Folger | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.