← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-0.49+4.51vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University0.92+1.19vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.20-0.37vs Predicted
-
4Indiana University0.82-0.84vs Predicted
-
5Washington University-0.68+0.88vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.73-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.38-1.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-0.43-2.45vs Predicted
-
9Unknown School-1.89-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51Ohio State University-0.495.8%1st Place
-
3.19Purdue University0.9220.4%1st Place
-
2.63University of Wisconsin1.2029.5%1st Place
-
3.16Indiana University0.8220.5%1st Place
-
5.88Washington University-0.685.2%1st Place
-
5.96Northwestern University-0.735.2%1st Place
-
5.43Northwestern University-0.386.5%1st Place
-
5.55University of Notre Dame-0.435.8%1st Place
-
7.7Unknown School-1.891.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sheridan | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Odey Hariri | 20.4% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 29.5% | 24.8% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Hultquist | 20.5% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moore | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 12.3% |
| Sydney Leon | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 12.2% |
| George Warfel | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Jack O'Connor | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Seth Mobley | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.