← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.50+5.14vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.21+5.33vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.59+5.99vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.75+4.40vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.98+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.97+1.58vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.51+2.25vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.23-1.83vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.11vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.76vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.71-2.31vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.01-4.71vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.34vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-4.58vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.25vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.47-6.44vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.53-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.33Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.99University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
-
9.4Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.16Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
8.58Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.25University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.17Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.69Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.29Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
10.56Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.26Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.