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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University1.04+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+1.48vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.31vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.18+2.02vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.18+1.14vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.42+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.11-0.98vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.80-2.94vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.14-3.06vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-1.74-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Purdue University1.0434.6%1st Place
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3.48University of Wisconsin0.3619.0%1st Place
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5.71Michigan State University-0.606.9%1st Place
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4.31University of Saint Thomas-0.0312.8%1st Place
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7.02Indiana University-1.184.1%1st Place
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7.14Unknown School-1.183.8%1st Place
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7.64Northwestern University-1.422.9%1st Place
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7.02University of Notre Dame-1.113.8%1st Place
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6.06Washington University-0.806.0%1st Place
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6.94Northwestern University-1.144.3%1st Place
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8.24University of Illinois-1.741.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Skene | 34.6% | 26.5% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 19.0% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Crannell | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Knox | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% |
| Austin Porras | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 19.9% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.3% |
| Jacob Hsia | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Peter Spoerri | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.