← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.50+5.09vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.23+5.24vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.97+5.43vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.66vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.53+5.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.59+4.20vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.01+1.21vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.60vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.03vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.71-0.64vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.21-3.37vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.66vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.75-4.48vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.47-4.34vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.98-7.66vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-6.62vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida2.51-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.24Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.43Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.01Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
-
8.21Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.97U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
9.36Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.63Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.52Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.66Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
-
8.34Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
-
10.36University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.