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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.16vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+5.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.86vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.71+4.33vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+1.54vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75+2.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97+0.23vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.47+1.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+0.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-2.74vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-6.46vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-5.76vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.59-6.95vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.21-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.67Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.04Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.26University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Liana Folger | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% |
| Christina Lewis | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.