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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+2.45vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.04+0.39vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-1.18+4.12vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.60+1.71vs Predicted
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5Washington University-0.80+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.55vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.42+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.74+0.12vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-1.14-2.04vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.18-2.93vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-1.11-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Wisconsin0.3618.4%1st Place
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2.39Purdue University1.0436.2%1st Place
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7.12Unknown School-1.183.4%1st Place
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5.71Michigan State University-0.607.1%1st Place
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6.17Washington University-0.805.4%1st Place
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4.45University of Saint Thomas-0.0313.1%1st Place
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7.59Northwestern University-1.423.2%1st Place
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8.12University of Illinois-1.742.6%1st Place
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6.96Northwestern University-1.143.6%1st Place
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7.07Indiana University-1.183.4%1st Place
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6.97University of Notre Dame-1.113.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annabel Bridges | 18.4% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Skene | 36.2% | 26.7% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% |
| Kate Crannell | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Austin Porras | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.1% |
| Ivan Shilov | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 26.8% |
| Peter Spoerri | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Ian Knox | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.