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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.13vs Predicted
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2Purdue University1.04+1.02vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.11+2.37vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.60+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.18-0.38vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.18-1.57vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.42-1.99vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.80-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Northwestern University1.6640.5%1st Place
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3.02Purdue University1.0420.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Wisconsin0.3613.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Saint Thomas-0.037.8%1st Place
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7.37University of Notre Dame-1.112.4%1st Place
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6.13Michigan State University-0.605.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Illinois-1.741.6%1st Place
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7.62Unknown School-1.181.5%1st Place
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7.43Indiana University-1.182.6%1st Place
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8.01Northwestern University-1.421.6%1st Place
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6.63Washington University-0.803.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaney Smith | 40.5% | 28.3% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Justin Skene | 20.2% | 24.9% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Annabel Bridges | 13.1% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Rakesh Dhiman | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Cecilia Patrick | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% |
Kate Crannell | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
Ivan Shilov | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 31.6% |
Gavin Lamphier | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
Ian Knox | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
Austin Porras | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
Jacob Hsia | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.