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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.36+2.10vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.60+3.13vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.04-1.05vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.18+2.38vs Predicted
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6Washington University-0.80+0.66vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.18+0.65vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.42+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.74-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-5.03vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-1.11-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Northwestern University1.6641.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Wisconsin0.3611.7%1st Place
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6.13Michigan State University-0.604.8%1st Place
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2.95Purdue University1.0421.1%1st Place
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7.38Indiana University-1.182.5%1st Place
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6.66Washington University-0.803.1%1st Place
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7.65Unknown School-1.182.1%1st Place
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8.02Northwestern University-1.421.8%1st Place
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8.65University of Illinois-1.741.7%1st Place
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4.97University of Saint Thomas-0.037.9%1st Place
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7.34University of Notre Dame-1.112.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 41.1% | 27.5% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annabel Bridges | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Crannell | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Justin Skene | 21.1% | 25.2% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 11.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Gavin Lamphier | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| Austin Porras | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| Ivan Shilov | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 33.2% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.